Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 37.299576 42.841511 48.822182 55.743371 63.519147 71.971749 81.841840
2024-12-15 28.280925 36.118794 45.372027 57.038473 71.285196 88.042929 109.165879
2024-12-22 21.003812 29.296301 39.834995 54.070386 72.635609 95.846969 126.856572
2024-12-29 17.801023 26.687917 38.677439 55.788330 79.286203 110.085059 153.099960
2025-01-05 15.834021 25.267685 38.663431 58.691471 87.406856 126.539281 183.211379
2025-01-12 13.164708 22.333693 36.018203 57.413226 89.370695 134.545567 202.216314
2025-01-19 10.754334 19.364351 32.847424 54.846446 89.001446 138.964308 216.188592
2025-01-26 10.067657 19.024194 33.602736 58.211064 97.600029 156.782580 250.508565
2025-02-02 9.782202 19.296079 35.320457 63.187421 108.991593 179.423762 293.320005
2025-02-09 8.786564 18.164129 34.555761 63.990100 113.760814 192.193444 321.852913
2025-02-16 7.787751 16.870182 33.340312 63.862214 116.917477 202.536907 347.112553
2025-02-23 6.852571 15.551181 31.908663 63.172242 118.996470 211.176741 370.037164
2025-03-02 6.110941 14.554733 31.039291 63.556968 123.226469 224.065540 401.441018
2025-03-09 5.468499 13.673707 30.303756 64.151846 127.952069 238.240917 436.136443
2025-03-16 4.496688 11.904405 27.587653 60.683792 125.013826 239.119723 448.523913
2025-03-23 4.161061 11.515096 27.616974 62.548130 132.045777 257.732898 492.313802
2025-03-30 3.971473 11.438617 28.288206 65.751107 141.838071 281.811516 546.945836
2025-04-06 3.442914 10.429591 26.802141 64.335746 142.534932 289.447882 572.810729
2025-04-13 2.891037 9.248045 24.760147 61.495784 140.116992 291.108811 587.887173
2025-04-20 2.819550 9.345135 25.690959 65.217621 151.275914 318.876655 652.256528
2025-04-27 2.849822 9.732288 27.354870 70.717923 166.484304 355.162276 734.184442
2025-05-04 2.616342 9.317391 27.008673 71.604638 172.049137 373.114358 782.508463
2025-05-11 2.355664 8.769583 26.256564 71.463370 175.383833 386.853387 823.459536